After the first 11 rounds of the season, the Supercomputer has refreshed its forecast for how the 2025-26 Premier League campaign will conclude.
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Last season, many anticipated Manchester City would dominate once again, but it was Liverpool – led by new boss Arne Slot – who stormed to their 20th top-flight title, reclaiming their status as England’s most decorated club. ..Continue Reading
No surprises came for those who predicted Arsenal would secure second place – a feat they’ve now managed three years running – while Pep Guardiola’s team rallied late to clinch third.
Other standout stories included Nottingham Forest’s unexpected qualification for Europe, while Tottenham and Manchester United endured historically poor seasons since the league’s 1992 rebrand.
Relegation Zone
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A troubling pattern at the bottom of the table may finally be broken this year. In both 2023/24 and 2024/25, all newly promoted teams were relegated immediately. But if the Supercomputer’s latest outlook holds true, Sunderland will avoid the drop.
However, Leeds United and Burnley are still expected to face relegation under Daniel Farke and Scott Parker. Both sides are predicted to finish 19th and 18th respectively, each collecting 36 points.
West Ham, still reeling from Graham Potter’s departure and now under Nuno Espirito Santo, are forecast to scrape survival with just one point more than Burnley.
This would represent a steep decline for a club still feeling the aftereffects of their successful spell under David Moyes.
The Supercomputer also suggests Wolves – winless after 11 matches – won’t recover, and are likely to remain rooted to the bottom until the season ends.
That’s hardly shocking, but fans at Molineux will be hoping their next manager can pull off something extraordinary.
Interestingly, the Supercomputer anticipates only two points will separate Leeds in 19th from Nottingham Forest in 16th, hinting at a tense relegation fight that could go down to the wire.
Forest recently appointed their third manager of the season, Sean Dyche, though a major turnaround isn’t expected.
The club now appears to be paying the price for parting ways with Nuno Espirito Santo.
Under Ange Postecoglou’s chaotic leadership, they failed to win any of their eight matches, including a 3-2 defeat to Swansea City in the League Cup after leading 2-0.
Things have gone from bad to worse, and finishing 16th would be unacceptable for an owner as impatient as Evangelos Marinakis.
Fulham are projected to end the season in 15th, two spots lower than last year.
The Cottagers continue to struggle to break into the next tier, unlike some of their peers who have progressed, with only West Ham trailing them among London clubs.
15. Fulham – 43 points
16. Nottingham Forest – 38 points
17. West Ham – 37 points
18. Burnley – 36 points
19. Leeds United – 36 points
20. Wolves – 26 points
Bottom Half
Given current form, it’s hard to imagine Sunderland ending up as low as 14th.
While that position isn’t poor considering their recent return to the top division after a dramatic drop that included time in League One, they currently sit fourth and have only suffered two defeats.
At this rate, Regis Le Bris could very well lead the Black Cats to a top 10 finish, especially after earning a hard-fought point against Arsenal.
Everton entered the 2025/26 season with high expectations from fans. Backed by new American owners, a fresh stadium, and attacking additions like Jack Grealish, David Moyes appeared ready to build something exciting at Bramley-Moore Docks.
If the Supercomputer’s forecast of a 13th-place finish comes true, it would likely disappoint those at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Losses to Liverpool, Leeds, Man City, Wolves, and most recently Tottenham Hotspur have hurt their campaign, though many felt those defeats were harsh—especially after ending Crystal Palace’s 19-match unbeaten streak.
Newcastle United are predicted to finish 12th, a significant drop from last season’s fifth-place finish.
The absence of Isak and inconsistent form from Yoane Wissa and Anthony Elanga have contributed to their struggles, compounded by late-game losses like the recent 3-1 defeat to Brentford.
Brentford, meanwhile, would be thrilled with an 11th-place finish after a summer of major changes. They lost Bryan Mbuemo to Manchester United, Wissa to Newcastle, and manager Thomas Frank to Tottenham.
Despite these setbacks, Keith Andrews has managed to stabilize the team and keep them progressing steadily.
11. Brentford – 53 points
12. Newcastle United – 53 points
13. Everton – 48 points
14. Sunderland – 46 points
Top Half
Tottenham are projected to finish 10th, edging out Brentford by just a single point. For a team that narrowly avoided relegation last season, that would typically be seen as progress.
However, tensions between players, fans, and management have put Thomas Frank under pressure, especially after three consecutive home defeats.
While results have been decent, performances have lacked spark, and the 2-2 draw with Manchester United has only added to the scrutiny.
Brighton & Hove Albion have quietly gone about their business this season. Once known for overachieving under Graham Potter and Roberto De Zerbi, they now appear to be progressing steadily under Fabian Hurzeler.
The Seagulls are expected to finish ninth with 55 points, a sign of consistent growth.
Bournemouth continue to impress under Andoni Iraola. After narrowly missing out on Europe last season, they’re predicted to climb to eighth—still short of continental competition, but a clear step forward.
Manchester United have bounced back from their 3-1 loss to Brentford with a five-match unbeaten streak, convincing the Supercomputer they’ll return to Europe via the Europa Conference League.
Crystal Palace, fresh off their historic FA Cup win, have shown they’re here to stay.
They beat Liverpool twice early in the season, first in the Community Shield and then to end Arne Slot’s perfect start, proving their intent.
A sixth-place finish would secure Europa League football and offer redemption after missing out last season due to UEFA’s multi-club ownership rules.
Aston Villa are projected to finish fifth under Unai Emery.
After a slow start with no goals in their first four matches, they’ve won eight of their last ten and found rhythm both domestically and in Europe.
Despite financial pressures, Emery continues to guide the team to strong results.
5. Aston Villa – 60 points
6. Crystal Palace – 59 points
7. Manchester United – 56 points
8. Bournemouth – 56 points
9. Brighton & Hove Albion – 55 points
10. Tottenham – 54 points
Top Four
Chelsea fans were the most hopeful in the country before the season began, according to a study. So, the Club World Cup and Europa Conference League winners finishing no higher than fourth – 17 points off the top – may not sit well in west London.
Still, securing Champions League qualification twice under Enzo Maresca, after previous struggles during the happy-go-lucky Todd Boehly era, is a notable achievement, especially if they add another trophy to make it three under his leadership in just two years.
Despite a record-breaking summer that saw them sign Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak, along with Jeremie Frimpong, Milos Kerkez, Giovanni Leoni, and Hugo Ekitike, Liverpool are projected to fall 12 points short of defending their crown, with the Supercomputer placing them third on 68 points.
Arne Slot’s side started the season with several dramatic late wins. But as opponents exploited their vulnerability to long balls, Liverpool have now lost five of their last six league matches.
It’s a concerning run for the reigning champions, though they’re still on course for Champions League qualification.
Manchester City, currently navigating a transitional phase, are predicted to finish second.
Their recent uptick in form has coincided with Erling Haaland’s scoring spree, including three goals against ‘Big Six’ teams in two weeks, three goal involvements in the 5-1 win over Burnley, another in a 1-0 victory over Brentford, and two more against Everton. Still, it won’t be enough to dethrone the Gunners.
A fourth straight second-place finish could be a bitter pill for Mikel Arteta, especially if the Gunners fall short despite having Viktor Gyokeres leading the line and Eberechi Eze bolstering the attack.
However, after conceding just five goals in their first 11 matches – with the first three coming against the run of play – Arsenal are tipped to finally break a 20-year title drought, finishing seven points clear of City.
Arteta’s long-term project has required patience, and if they do win the league as predicted, it would silence any remaining doubts about his ability to deliver silverware.
Sometimes, one major success is all it takes to spark a winning era. If Arsenal claim the Premier League this season, it could mark the beginning of a dominant spell.
1. Arsenal – 80 points
2. Manchester City – 73 points
3. Liverpool – 68 points
4. Chelsea – 63 points

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